“Consider a turkey that is fed every day. Every single feeding will firm up the bird’s belief that it is the general rule of life to be fed every day by friendly members of the human race “looking out for its best interests,” as a politician would say. On the afternoon of the Wednesday before Thanksgiving, something unexpected will happen to the turkey.”
Image and quote is from one of my favorite books, Antifragile by Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
TLDR: The past can only teach you so much, be able to handle, or even gain, from the unexpected.
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